Music therapy for supporting informal carers of adults with life-threatening illness pre- and post-bereavement; a mixed-methods systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Music therapy interventions with informal carers of individuals with life-threatening illness at pre- and post-bereavement is an increasingly important clinical area. This systematic review is the first to synthesise and critically evaluate the international evidence associated with music therapy with adult informal carers pre- and post-bereavement. Specifically, the objectives were: i) to describe the characteristics and effectiveness of music therapy interventions which aim to improve health-related outcomes for adult informal carers of adults with life-threatening illness (pre- and post-bereavement), and ii) to describe the experience of music therapy for adult informal carers of adults with life-threatening illness (pre- and post-bereavement). METHODS: Eligibility: adult informal carers of adults at end of life or bereaved; music therapy interventions for improving health-related outcomes; qualitative; mixed-method; and quantitative studies including comparators of any other intervention; published in English from 1998 onwards. Six databases were searched up to July 2022. A JBI mixed-methods systematic review approach was followed throughout, including quality appraisal, data extraction and a convergent segregated approach to synthesis and integration. RESULTS: A total of 34 studies were included, published between 2003 and 2022. Most were conducted in North America (n = 13), Australia (n = 10), or Europe (n = 8). No studies were conducted in low- and middle-income countries or in the UK. The majority were qualitative (n = 17), followed by quasi-experimental (n = 8), mixed-methods (n = 7) and two RCTs. The majority focused on carers of individuals with dementia (n = 21) or advanced cancer (n = 7). Seventeen studies were purely quantitative or included a quantitative component. During meta-synthesis, findings were aligned to core outcomes for evaluating bereavement interventions in palliative care and previously identified risk factors for complicated grief. Commonly targeted outcomes in quantitative studies included quality of life and mental wellbeing, showing equivocal effectiveness of music therapy with significant and non-significant results. Twenty-two studies either purely qualitative or with a qualitative component underwent meta synthesis and suggested a diverse range of improved pre- and post-bereavement outcomes for informal carers across all core outcomes, and across all risk and protective factors, including psychological, spiritual, emotional, and social outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Qualitative studies provide moderate to strong evidence for improved health-related outcomes for adult informal carers of adults with life-threatening illness pre-bereavement. Limited studies including those bereaved negates conclusions for the bereavement phase. Comparisons and explanations for effectiveness across quantitative and qualitative studies are equivocal, with a high risk of bias and small samples in the limited number of quantitative studies, demonstrating a need for high-quality RCTs. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PRE-REGISTRATION: PROSPERO [CRD42021244859].

Age-period-cohort modelling of type 1 diabetes incidence rates among children included in the EURODIAB 25-year follow-up study.

AIMS: Specific patterns in incidence may reveal environmental explanations for type 1 diabetes incidence. We aimed to study type 1 diabetes incidence in European childhood populations to assess whether an increase could be attributed to either period or cohort effects. METHODS: Nineteen EURODIAB centres provided single year incidence data for ages 0-14 in the 25-year period 1989-2013. Case counts and person years were classified by age, period and cohort (APC) in 1-year classes. APC Poisson regression models of rates were fitted using restricted cubic splines for age, period and cohort per centre and sex. Joint models were fitted for all centres and sexes, to find a parsimonious model. RESULTS: A total of 57,487 cases were included. In ten and seven of the 19 centres the APC models showed evidence of nonlinear cohort effects or period effects, respectively, in one or both sexes and indications of sex-specific age effects. Models showed a positive linear increase ranging from approximately 0.6 to 6.6%/year. Centres with low incidence rates showed the highest overall increase. A final joint model showed incidence peak at age 11.6 and 12.6 for girls and boys, respectively, and the rate-ratio was according to sex below 1 in ages 5-12. CONCLUSION: There was reasonable evidence for similar age-specific type 1 diabetes incidence rates across the EURODIAB population and peaks at a younger age for girls than boys. Cohort effects showed nonlinearity but varied between centres and the model did not contribute convincingly to identification of environmental causes of the increase.

The longitudinal loss of islet autoantibody responses from diagnosis of type 1 diabetes occurs progressively over follow-up and is determined by low autoantibody titres, early-onset, and genetic variants.

The clinical usefulness of post-diagnosis islet autoantibody levels is unclear and factors that drive autoantibody persistence are poorly defined in type 1 diabetes (T1D). Our aim was to characterise the longitudinal loss of islet autoantibody responses after diagnosis in a large, prospectively sampled UK cohort. Participants with T1D [n = 577] providing a diagnosis sample [range -1.0 to 2.0 years] and at least one post-diagnosis sample (<32.0 years) were tested for autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase 65 (GADA), islet antigen-2 (IA-2A), and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A). Select HLA and non-HLA SNPs were considered. Non-genetic and genetic factors were assessed by multivariable logistic regression models for autoantibody positivity at initial sampling and autoantibody loss at final sampling. For GADA, IA-2A, and ZnT8A, 70.8%, 76.8%, and 40.1%, respectively, remained positive at the final sampling. Non-genetic predictors of autoantibody loss were low baseline autoantibody titres (P < 0.0001), longer diabetes duration (P < 0.0001), and age-at-onset under 8 years (P < 0.01--0.05). Adjusting for non-genetic covariates, GADA loss was associated with low-risk HLA class II genotypes (P = 0.005), and SNPs associated with autoimmunity RELA/11q13 (P = 0.017), LPP/3q28 (P = 0.004), and negatively with IFIH1/2q24 (P = 0.018). IA-2A loss was not associated with genetic factors independent of other covariates, while ZnT8A loss was associated with the presence of HLA A*24 (P = 0.019) and weakly negatively with RELA/11q13 (P = 0.049). The largest longitudinal study of islet autoantibody responses from diagnosis of T1D shows that autoantibody loss is heterogeneous and influenced by low titres at onset, longer duration, earlier age-at-onset, and genetic variants. These data may inform clinical trials where post-diagnosis participants are recruited.

Efficacy of lasers and light sources in long-term hair reduction: a systematic review.

Laser and light-based devices provide scope for long-term "hair-removal" however, there is limited evidence supporting their long-term efficacy. This study aimed to assess the long-term efficacy of laser and light-based "hair-removal" devices, taking into account variations in body site-specific variations in hair growthcycles. A systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with follow-up periods greater than or equal to the length of one complete hair growth cycle in the body site targeted was conducted. Only five eligible RCTs were identified as suitable for inclusion, and these comprised a total of 223 patients. The average long-term hair reduction reported for neodymium:yttrium-aluminum-garnet (Nd:YAG) laser ranged from 30 to 73.61%, Alexandrite laser ranged from 35 to 84.25%, and Diode laser ranged from 32.5 to 69.2%. In all three devices, the greatest long-term reduction was observed from trials targeting leg hair (1-year growth cycle) and lowest from targeting facial hair (6-month growth cycle). Intense pulsed light (IPL) produced average long-term hair reduction of 52.7-27%; smallest reduction was observed from targeting the face area and greatest from targeting the axillary area (7-month growth cycle). In conclusion, greater long-term hair reduction was observed on body sites with longer hair growth cycles. Future trials should take into account the variation of hair growth cycles across body sites to provide accurate long-term data on treatment outcomes.

Evaluation of a General Practitioner with Special Interest model: lessons learned from staff experiences.

BACKGROUND: The integration of general practitioners into specialist outpatient clinics is associated with improved access to care; however, little is understood about the organisation-level factors that affect successful implementation. We aimed to identify factors that were facilitators or barriers to the implementation of a General Practitioner with Special Interest (GPwSI) model of care across a range of specialties. METHODS: Semi-structured, in-depth interviews were conducted with 25 stakeholders at 13 GPwSI clinics in operation within a Queensland public health service. A deductive content analysis was conducted using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). RESULTS: Stakeholders generally supported the GPwSI model and saw advantages to patients and specialist medical practitioners in terms of waiting lists, workload, and improving clinician self-efficacy and knowledge. A number of factors were identified as being crucial to the success of the program, such as adequate support and planning for the implementation, appropriate funding and advocacy. CONCLUSIONS: Our evaluation indicates that a GPwSI model can be a beneficial resource for improving care to patients and reducing wait lists, dependent upon adequate planning, training, and support.

Islet autoantibody profiles associated with higher diabetes risk in Lithuanian compared with English schoolchildren.

During a 15-year period, the incidence of type 1 diabetes has doubled in Lithuania, while increasing by a third in England; however, England still has a higher incidence. Analysis of sera collected from non-diabetic schoolchildren from Lithuania and England more than 20 years ago showed a similar number of multiple autoantibody-positive schoolchildren between the populations, but a higher prevalence of islet antigen-2 autoantibodies (IA-2A) in English schoolchildren. We aimed to use recently developed, more specific islet autoantibody tests to characterize differences in humoral autoimmunity between these two general population cohorts in greater detail. Samples from 88 Lithuanian and 133 English schoolchildren previously found islet autoantibody-positive were selected for measurement of additional islet autoantibodies by radioimmunoassay. Samples were tested for autoantibodies to zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A), GAD (96-585), the protein tyrosine phosphatase region of islet antigen-2 (PTPA) and the related IA-2ßA, while autoantibodies to IA-2A were reassayed using the current harmonized method. IA-2-related autoantibodies PTPA (0·13 versus 0·45%, P = 0·027) and IA-2ßA (0 versus 0·35%, P < 0·001), but not IA-2A measured using the harmonized method, were less common in Lithuanian compared to English schoolchildren. Lithuanian schoolchildren who were islet autoantibody-positive were positive for fewer biochemical autoantibodies compared with English schoolchildren (P = 0·043). Background rates of islet autoimmunity in childhood differ subtly between countries, which have different incidences of type 1 diabetes. The optimal screening strategy (age and combination of markers) for detection of islet autoimmunity may vary between countries, dependent upon the pattern of autoantibodies found in the general population.

Qualitative analysis of domestic violence detection and response in a tertiary hospital.

INTRODUCTION Domestic and family violence is a public health problem of epidemic proportions and a significant issue facing the Australian community. It knows no boundaries, is indiscriminate to geographical location, social class, age, religious or cultural background. AIM This study aimed to analyse the processes currently used to identify and respond to domestic and family violence in a large tertiary hospital in Australia, and to classify the benefits and weaknesses of these existing systems. METHODS A qualitative method used semistructured, face-to-face and telephone interviews with key informants in 16 key areas across the hospital. Thematic analysis of the interviews was used to define the key issues and areas of interest identified by participants. RESULTS There was a dearth of existing guidelines or pathways of care for patients experiencing domestic violence. Several strengths and weaknesses were identified in relation to the protocols and systems used by the hospital, including limited training for staff and a lack of standardisation of processes, workplace instructions and clinical guidelines. With the exception of maternity services, no clinical service area used a guideline or work instruction. Most interviewees highlighted the need for the safety and protection of staff and victims as a priority. DISCUSSION Domestic and family violence is an enormous burden on the health system. However, many staff have little or no guidance on dealing with it or are unaware of existing protocols or guidelines for detection or response. Participants recommended further education and training for staff, consistent guidelines, specialist liaison and more educational and information resources for staff and patients. Further investigation and discussions with patients affected by violence is warranted to provide robust recommendations for policy change.

Validation of a frailty index in older cancer patients with solid tumours.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is an indicator of physiological reserve in older people. In non-cancer settings, frailty indices are reliable predictors of adverse health outcomes. The aims of this study were to 1) derive and validate a frailty index (FI) from comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) data obtained in the solid tumour chemotherapy setting, and 2) to explore whether the FI-CGA could predict chemotherapy decisions and survival in older cancer patients with solid tumours. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of a consecutive series sample of 175 cancer patients aged 65 and older with solid tumours. A frailty index was calculated using an accumulated deficits model, coding items from the comprehensive geriatric assessment tool administered prior to chemotherapy decision-making. The domains of physical and cognitive functioning, nutrition, mood, basic and instrumental activities of daily living, and comorbidities were incorporated as deficits into the model. RESULTS: The FI-CGA had a right-skewed distribution, with median (interquartile range) of 0.27 (0.21-0.39). The 99% limit to deficit accumulation was below the theoretical maximum of 1.0, at 0.75. The FI-CGA was significantly related (p < 0.001) to vulnerability as assessed by the Vulnerable Elders Survey-13 and to medical oncologists' assessments of fitness or vulnerability to treatment. Baseline frailty as determined by the FI-CGA was also associated with treatment decisions (Treatment Terminated, Treatment Completed, No Planned Treatment) (p < 0.001), with the No Planned Treatment group significantly frailer than the other two groups. CONCLUSION: The FI-CGA is a potentially useful adjunct to cancer clinical decision-making that could predict chemotherapy outcomes in older patients with solid tumours.

The first 142 amino acids of glutamate decarboxylase do not contribute to epitopes recognized by autoantibodies associated with Type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: Glutamate decarboxylase (GAD) antibodies are the most widely used predictive marker for Type 1 diabetes, but many individuals currently found to be GAD antibody-positive are unlikely to develop diabetes. We have shown previously that radioimmunoassays using N-terminally truncated 35 S-GAD65 (96-585) offer better disease specificity with similar sensitivity to full-length 35 S-GAD65 (1-585). To determine whether assay performance could be improved further, we evaluated a more radically truncated 35 S-GAD65 (143-585) radiolabel. METHODS: Samples from people with recent-onset Type 1 diabetes (n = 157) and their first-degree relatives (n = 745) from the Bart's-Oxford family study of childhood diabetes were measured for GAD antibodies using 35 S-labelled GAD65 (143-585). These were screened previously using a local radioimmunoassay with 35 S-GAD65 (1-585). A subset was also tested by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), which performs well in international workshops, but requires 10 times more serum. Results were compared with GAD antibody measurements using 35 S-GAD65 (1-585) and 35 S-GAD65 (96-585). RESULTS: Sensitivity of GAD antibody measurement was maintained using 35 S-GAD65 (143-585) compared with 35 S-GAD65 (1-585) and 35 S-GAD65 (96-585). Specificity for Type 1 diabetes was improved compared with 35 S-GAD65 (1-585), but was similar to 35 S-GAD65 (96-585). Relatives found to be GAD antibody-positive using these truncated labels were at increased risk of diabetes progression within 15 years, compared with those positive for GAD(1-585) antibody only, and at similar risk to those found GAD antibody-positive by ELISA. CONCLUSIONS: The first 142 amino acids of GAD65 do not contribute to epitopes recognized by Type 1 diabetes-associated GAD antibodies. Low-volume radioimmunoassays using N-terminally truncated 35 S-GAD65 are more specific than those using full-length GAD65 and offer practical alternatives to the GAD antibody ELISA for identifying children at increased risk of Type 1 diabetes.

A quarter of patients with type 1 diabetes have co-existing non-islet autoimmunity: the findings of a UK population-based family study.

Individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) are at increased risk of coeliac disease (CD), autoimmune thyroiditis and autoimmune gastritis, but the absolute risks are unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of autoantibodies to tissue transglutaminase (TGA), thyroid peroxidase (TPOA) and gastric H+ /K+ -ATPase (ATPA) and their genetic associations in a well-characterized population-based cohort of individuals with T1D from the Bart's-Oxford family study for whom islet autoantibody prevalence data were already available. Autoantibodies in sera from 1072 patients (males/females 604/468; median age 11·8 years, median T1D duration 2·7 months) were measured by radioimmunoassays; HLA class II risk genotype was analysed in 973 (91%) using polymerase chain reaction with sequence specific primers (PCR-SSP). The prevalence of TGA (and/or history of CD), TPOA and ATPA in patients was 9·0, 9·6 and 8·2%, respectively; 3·1% had two or more autoantibodies. Females were at higher risk of multiple autoimmunity; TGA/CD were associated with younger age and TPOA with older age. ATPA were uncommon in patients under 5 years, and more common in older patients. Anti-glutamate decarboxylase autoantibodies were predictive of co-existing TPOA/ATPA. TGA/CD were associated with human leucocyte antigen (HLA) DR3-DQ2, with the DR3-DQ2/DR3-DQ2 genotype conferring the highest risk, followed by DR4-DQ8/DR4-DQ8. ATPA were associated with DR3-DQ2, DRB1*0404 (in males) and the DR3-DQ2/DR4-DQ8 genotype. TPOA were associated with the DR3-DQ2/DR3-DQ2 genotype. Almost one-quarter of patients diagnosed with T1D aged under 21 years have at least one other organ-specific autoantibody. HLA class II genetic profiling may be useful in identifying those at risk of multiple autoimmunity.

An increased frequency of NK cell receptor and HLA-C group 1 combinations in early-onset type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Natural killer (NK) cells serve as primary immune surveillance and are partially regulated by combinations of killer immunoglobulin-like receptor (KIR) genes and their HLA class I ligands. Alterations in NK cell activity have been associated with type 1 diabetes. The aim of this study was to determine whether KIR-HLA class I gene frequency: (1) is altered in a current population with type 1 diabetes compared with healthy controls; and (2) has changed over the half century in which the incidence of type 1 diabetes has increased rapidly. METHODS: KIR-HLA class I gene frequencies were compared in 551 individuals diagnosed with type 1 diabetes ≤ 15 years of age (394 in a current cohort and 157 from the historical 'Golden Years' cohort) and 168 healthy controls. The overall balance of activation and inhibition was analysed using KIR-HLA genotype models. RESULTS: Children with type 1 diabetes who were positive for KIR2DS2/KIR2DL2 and KIR2DL3 were more often homozygous for HLA-C group 1 and this effect was strongest in children diagnosed with diabetes before the age of 5 years (p = 0.003, corrected p [p (corr)] = 0.012) and (p = 0.001, p (corr) = 0.004), respectively. Children with type 1 diabetes have fewer inhibitory KIRs with their corresponding ligands compared with healthy controls (p = 1.9 × 10(-4)). This pattern of NK activation has not changed significantly in individuals with type 1 diabetes over the last half century. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Activating combinations of KIR-HLA genes are more frequent in young children with type 1 diabetes diagnosed in the first 5 years of life, suggesting that NK cell responses may be altered in this group.

Autoantibodies to islet antigen-2 are associated with HLA-DRB1*07 and DRB1*09 haplotypes as well as DRB1*04 at onset of type 1 diabetes: the possible role of HLA-DQA in autoimmunity to IA-2.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: To further our understanding of antigen presentation by HLA class II molecules, we have examined the influence of HLA class II genotype on expression of autoantibodies to islet antigen-2 (IA-2A). METHODS: HLA class II genotype and IA-2A were determined within 3 months of diagnosis in 618 patients with type 1 diabetes (median age 11 years [range 0.7-20.9]). Antibodies to the juxtamembrane region of IA-2 were measured by a radiobinding assay in 481 of 484 IA-2A-positive patients. RESULTS: IA-2A prevalence was highest in patients carrying at least one HLA-DRB1*04-DQA1*0301 (385 of 450; 86%), DRB1*07-DQA1*(0201 or 0301) (58 of 64; 91%) or DRB1*09-DQA1*0301 haplotype (18 of 19; 95%). Multiple regression showed that IA-2A were strongly associated with the number of these haplotypes carried; only 69 of 132 (52%) patients carrying none of these haplotypes had IA-2A, compared with 322 of 391 (82%) patients with one and 93 of 95 (98%) with two of these haplotypes (p < 0.001). IA-2 juxtamembrane antibodies were less frequent in IA-2A-positive patients with one (35%) or two (36%) DRB1*03-DQB1*02 or DRB1*07-DQB1*02 haplotypes than in those negative for these haplotypes (52%) (p = 0.002), but showed an independent positive association with IA-2A level (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: HLA class II alleles strongly influence the prevalence of IA-2A. The high IA-2A prevalence in patients carrying DRB1*04, DRB1*07 and DRB1*09 alleles in linkage disequilibrium with DQA1*0301 or the closely related DQA1*0201 suggests the humoral response to IA-2 may be driven by HLA-DQA1 genes.

Relative predispositional effects of HLA class II DRB1-DQB1 haplotypes and genotypes on type 1 diabetes: a meta-analysis.

The direct involvement of the human leukocyte antigen class II DR-DQ genes in type 1 diabetes (T1D) is well established, and these genes display a complex hierarchy of risk effects at the genotype and haplotype levels. We investigated, using data from 38 studies, whether the DR-DQ haplotypes and genotypes show the same relative predispositional effects across populations and ethnic groups. Significant differences in risk within a population were considered, as well as comparisons across populations using the patient/control (P/C) ratio. Within a population, the ratio of the P/C ratios for two different genotypes or haplotypes is a function only of the absolute penetrance values, allowing ranking of risk effects. Categories of consistent predisposing, intermediate ('neutral'), and protective haplotypes were identified and found to correlate with disease prevalence and the marked ethnic differences in DRB1-DQB1 frequencies. Specific effects were identified, for example for predisposing haplotypes, there was a statistically significant and consistent hierarchy for DR4 DQB1*0302s: DRB1*0405 =*0401 =*0402 > *0404 > *0403, with DRB1*0301 DQB1*0200 (DR3) being significantly less predisposing than DRB1*0402 and more than DRB1*0404. The predisposing DRB1*0401 DQB1*0302 haplotype was relatively increased compared with the protective haplotype DRB1*0401 DQB1*0301 in heterozygotes with DR3 compared with heterozygotes with DRB1*0101 DQB1*0501 (DR1). Our results show that meta-analyses and use of the P/C ratio and rankings thereof can be valuable in determining T1D risk factors at the haplotype and amino acid residue levels.

An association analysis of the HLA gene region in latent autoimmune diabetes in adults.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Pathophysiological similarities between latent autoimmune diabetes in adults (LADA) and type 1 diabetes indicate an overlap in genetic susceptibility. HLA-DRB1 and HLA-DQB1 are major susceptibility genes for type 1 diabetes but studies of these genes in LADA have been limited. Our aim was to define patterns of HLA-encoded susceptibility/protection in a large, well characterised LADA cohort, and to establish association with disease and age at diagnosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with LADA (n = 387, including 211 patients from the UK Prospective Diabetes Study) and non-diabetic control subjects (n = 327) were of British/Irish European origin. The HLA-DRB1 and -DQB1 genes were genotyped by sequence-specific PCR. RESULTS: As in type 1 diabetes mellitus, DRB1 0301_DQB1 0201 (odds ratio [OR] = 3.08, 95% CI 2.32-4.12, p = 1.2 x 10(-16)) and DRB1 0401_DQB1 0302 (OR = 2.57, 95% CI 1.80-3.73, p = 4.5 x 10(-8)) were the main susceptibility haplotypes in LADA, and DRB1 1501_DQB1 0602 was protective (OR = 0.21, 95% CI 0.13-0.34, p = 4.2 x 10(-13)). Differential susceptibility was conferred by DR4 subtypes: DRB1 0401 was predisposing (OR = 1.79, 95% CI 1.35-2.38, p = 2.7 x 10(-5)) whereas DRB1 0403 was protective (OR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.13-0.97, p = 0.033). The highest-risk genotypes were DRB1 0301/DRB1 0401 and DQB1 0201/DQB1 0302 (OR = 5.14, 95% CI 2.68-10.69, p = 1.3 x 10(-8); and OR = 6.88, 95% CI 3.54-14.68, p = 1.2 x 10(-11), respectively). These genotypes and those containing DRB1 0401 and DQB1 0302 associated with a younger age at diagnosis in LADA, whereas genotypes containing DRB1 1501 and DQB1 0602 associated with an older age at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Patterns of susceptibility at the HLA-DRB1 and HLA-DQB1 loci in LADA are similar to those reported for type 1 diabetes, supporting the hypothesis that autoimmune diabetes occurring in adults is an age-related extension of the pathophysiological process presenting as childhood-onset type 1 diabetes.

A prognostic index for operable, node-negative breast cancer.

Clinical data and samples from patients diagnosed, more than 10 years previously, with operable node-negative breast cancer (participants in the Scottish Adjuvant Tamoxifen trial), were revisited. Cases with two distinct categories of outcome were selected; more than 10 years disease-free survival ('good outcome') or distant relapse within 6 years of diagnosis ('poor outcome'). An initial set of cases was analysed for a range of putative prognostic markers and a prognostic index, distinguishing the two outcome categories, was calculated. This index was then validated by testing its predictive power on a second, independent set of cases. A combination of histological grade plus immunochemical staining for BCL-2, p27 and Cyclin D1, generated a useful prognostic index for tamoxifen-treated patients but not for those treated by surgery alone. The value of the index was confirmed in a second set of tamoxifen-treated, early stage breast cancers. Overall, it correctly predicted good and poor outcome in 79 and 74% of cases, respectively (odds ratio 11.0). Other markers assessed added little to prediction of outcome. In the case of molecular assays, sensitivity and reliability were compromised by the age of the tissue specimens and the variability of fixation protocols. In selecting patients for adjuvant systemic chemotherapy, the proposed index improves considerably on current international guidelines and matches the performance reported for 'gene-expression signature' analysis.

The prevalence of insulin autoantibodies at the onset of Type 1 diabetes is higher in males than females during adolescence.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The incidence of Type 1 diabetes shows little sex bias up to age 15 years, but more males are diagnosed in early adult life. Humoral responses to the beta cell antigen insulin could help to reveal the mechanism underlying this difference. We therefore determined the influence of sex on the prevalence of insulin autoantibodies (IAA) at diagnosis. METHODS: IAA were measured by radiobinding assay in 598 patients with newly diagnosed Type 1 diabetes (aged 10.5, range 0.8-20.7 years, 333 male), and analysed according to age, sex and HLA class II genotype. RESULTS: Overall, 74% of males and 65% of females had IAA above the 97.5(th) centile of 2860 schoolchildren ( p=0.028). IAA prevalence was similar in males and females under the age of 15 (0-4 yr, 95% vs 88%; 5-9 yr, 76% vs 73%; 10-14 yr, 67% vs 58%), but male excess was seen between 15 and 21 years (66% vs. 32%, p(corr)=0.016). HLA class II genotype was available for 426 patients. IAA prevalence in DR4 homozygous patients was 87%, in DR4 heterozygous patients 72% and in DR4 negative patients 55% ( p<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed independent association of IAA with age ( p<0.001), number of DR4 alleles ( p<0.001) and male sex ( p=0.002). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of IAA in patients with newly diagnosed Type 1 diabetes is higher in males than females between 15 and 21 years of age. The lower prevalence of IAA in adolescent females implies sex-specific modulation of the autoimmune process during puberty.

Three generations of autoimmune diabetes: an extended family study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: One in four children with Type 1 diabetes in a population-based family study has an affected grandparent. We set out to study the clinical and immune features of diabetes in the grandparents' generation, and to examine sharing of HLA class II susceptibility haplotypes between grandparent and grandchild. METHODS: Of 5855 grandparents in the Bart's-Oxford family study, 428 (7.3%) were known to have diabetes. Clinical data and samples were collected from 115 of 213 surviving affected grandparents and from 219 unaffected grandparents within the same families. Samples were tested for ICA and autoantibodies to GAD and IA-2, and typed for HLA-DRB1-DQA1-DQB1. Transmission of HLA class II haplotype from affected and unaffected grandparents to the diabetic proband was compared. RESULTS: Of 115 affected grandparents studied, the median age at diagnosis was 61 years and at analysis was 73 years; 70% were diet or tablet treated and 30% were on insulin. One or more islet autoantibodies were found in 26% and 66% had one or both of the high risk HLA class II susceptibility haplotypes DRB1*03-DQA1*0501-DQB1*0201 or DRB1*04-DQA1*0301-DQB1*0302. In 79 informative families the HLA class II haplotype of the affected grandparent was transmitted to the proband more frequently than expected overall (59%, p=0.02), and in the insulin-treated subgroups (65%, p=0.03). CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: A total of 7.3% of grandparents reported a clinical diagnosis of diabetes and 2.2% had features of Type 1 diabetes. Genetic susceptibility was shared between grandparents with diabetes and their affected grandchildren. Diabetes in the grandparents of children with Type 1 diabetes often has an autoimmune basis, even when it presents late in life and does not require insulin treatment.

Diabetes in the parents of children with Type I diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Previous studies have reported an excess of Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in parents of children with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. We set out to characterise the clinical and immunogenetic features of diabetes in parents of affected children, and to test the hypothesis that there is no excess of Type II diabetes within this population. METHODS: Clinical details were collected from 3164 parents of 1641 children with Type I diabetes participating in the Bart's-Oxford study of childhood diabetes. Islet cell antibodies, antibodies to GAD and IA-2, and HLA class II genotype were determined in a subset of this group. Individuals were assigned a classification of Type I diabetes on the basis of clinical features and measurement of islet autoantibodies. RESULTS: Of 184 parents with diabetes, 138 (75 %) were on insulin. At least one islet autoantibody was detected in 90 (59 %) of 152 parents tested, and of 116 who were HLA-typed, 23 (20 %) had the highest risk genotype HLA-DRB1(*)03-DQA1*0501-DQB1(*)0201 / DRB1*04-DQA1(*)0301-DQB1*0302. Of 46 non-insulin-treated parents, 12 had islet autoantibodies. Of all parents, 141 (4.5 %) were therefore classified as having Type I diabetes, and 31 (0.98 %) as Type II diabetes; 12 could not be classified because of missing data or samples. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: Autoimmune diabetes can present late and without immediate need for insulin treatment in parents of children with the disease. Previous studies have categorised this as Type II diabetes. Our study suggests that there is no excess of non-autoimmune diabetes in the families of children with Type I diabetes.

The interleukin-10-1082 G/A polymorphism: allele frequency in different populations and functional significance.

Genotypic variation in the human interleukin-10 (IL-10) promoter may account for marked inter-individual variation in IL-10 production and may influence susceptibility to autoimmune diseases. The G/A polymorphism at position -1082 has been linked to high/low IL-10 producer status. We directly tested the functional significance of this polymorphism using DNA-binding assays and reporter gene assays, examined allele frequencies in two geographically distinct populations and assessed intra- and inter-individual variation in IL-10 production in vitro according to genotype. Functional analyses showed that the -1082 region contains a putative ETS-like transcription factor-binding site, and nuclear factors from a monocyte cell line bind to this region. Transient transfection studies in an Epstein-Barr virus-transformed B cell line indicated that the -1082 A allele confers a two fold increase in transcriptional activity of the IL-10 promoter compared to the G allele. There was marked inter-individual variation in IL-10 production by peripheral blood mononuclear cells in vitro, with no consistent effect of genotype.